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Don't be so sensitive

JIM TRACY 10-Oct-2018

Sure, interest rates are low in a historical context, but as of mid-September 10-year Treasuries were once again looking to top (and stay above) 3%. And thanks to the recent robust job numbers, the real questions are not if the Fed will continue tightening, but rather how much further and how fast.


Given that backdrop, investors are right to revisit their fixed income allocations. Will bonds continue to play their traditional role in an overall investment portfolio? And if so, how should investors allocate their fixed income budgets?

 

 



For clues, investors may wish to look at duration. Duration is defined as a measure of interest rate sensitivity—the longer the duration, the more sensitive the investment is to shifts in interest rates and the greater its potential for losses in periods of rising rates. Floating rate bank loans may provide attractive risk-reward tradeoffs as evidenced by duration. 


As their name suggests, floating-rate bank loans are variable-rate loans made by financial institutions, generally to non-investment grade companies. Unlike most fixed income instruments, they can help balance an overall portfolio’s exposure to rising interest rates, providing greater price stability when compared with longer-term fixed interest rate bonds. This is due to their variable-rate yields, which adjust periodically, typically every 90 days, to mirror changes in market interest rates.


Moreover, bank loans are often ranked senior in a company’s capital structure, which means that, in the event of a default, bank loans are typically senior to bonds, convertibles, stock and other unsecured claims. In other words, these loans have priority for repayment and access to collateral.


Of course, there is no free lunch, and investors should always be aware of the risks associated with this asset class, including credit and liquidity. In fact, some common push-back comes from investors who wonder whether they are simply replacing duration risk with credit risk. That may be a viable concern given that bank loans are often below investment grade. Yet an active manager with deep credit research capabilities may be able to mitigate that risk by avoiding industries and individual companies with deteriorating balance sheets and higher risks of default. An active manager can also reject investments with inadequate liquidity.


All investments carry risks, but at a time when interest rate risk is increasing, investors should remember that floating-rate bank loans, which can offer attractive yields, are among the few fixed income assets that have the potential to maintain or increase in value in a rising rate environment. From this perspective, bank loans may prove helpful in structuring a fixed income portfolio.

Index definitions

1 Morningstar Bank Loan: Bank loan portfolios primarily invest in floating rate bank loans instead of bonds. These portfolios have credit risk and limited duration risk. The Morningstar Category Average is the average duration and average 30-day SEC yield for the peer group based on the durations and 30-day SEC yields of each individual fund within the group, for the period shown.

2 Morningstar High Yield Bond: High yield bond portfolios concentrate on lower quality bonds, which are riskier than those of higher quality companies. The Morningstar Category Average is the average duration and average 30-day SEC yield for the peer group based on the durations and 30-day SEC yields of each individual fund within the group, for the period shown.

3 Morningstar Intermediate Government Bond: Intermediate-government portfolios have at least 90% of their bond holdings in bonds backed by the US government or by government-linked agencies. The Morningstar Category Average is the average duration and average 30-day SEC yield for the peer group based on the durations and 30-day SEC yields of each individual fund within the group, for the period shown.

4 Morningstar Intermediate-Term Bond: Intermediate-term bond portfolios invest primarily in corporate and other investment grade US fixed income issues and typically have durations of 3.5 to 6.0 years. The Morningstar Category Average is the average duration and average 30-day SEC yield for the peer group based on the durations and 30-day SEC yields of each individual fund within the group, for the period shown.

5 Morningstar Multisector Bond: Broad bond portfolios that typically invest assets among several fixed-income sectors, including government bonds, corporate bonds, high-yield bonds and foreign bonds. The Morningstar Category Average is the average duration and average 30-day SEC yield for the peer group based on the durations and 30-day SEC yields of each individual fund within the group, for the period shown.